October 31, 2012 —
CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 19, NY — Republican Representative Chris Gibson’s large 16-point lead in September, 52% to 36%, has now become a narrow five-point lead, 48% to 43%, over Democratic challenger, Julian Schreibman, according to a new Siena College Research Institute poll of likely voters released on October
Schreibman, who had trailed Gibson by 16 points among independent voters six weeks ago, has virtually pulled even, trailing 46-44 percent. Gibson maintains a large 25-point lead in the counties surrounding Albany (down from 35 points); however, Schreibman now leads in the Ulster and Dutchess Counties portion of the district by seven points, where he previously trailed by two points, and he has a tiny two-point edge in the western section of the district, which includes Sullivan and Delaware counties, where he previously trailed by 14 points.
“Gibson’s comfortable 16-point lead six weeks ago has narrowed dramatically to a five-point lead with still one week until Election Day,” said Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg.
“Schreibman has solidified his base among Democrats and now does almost as well with them as Gibson does with Republicans.